Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested due to the party's narrow current majority of roughly 218 seats and the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground in midterm elections. Recent forecasts from Cook Political Report and other analysts show competitive ratings across dozens of districts, with substantial Republican retirements and a national environment favoring Democrats by several points in generic ballot polling. Redistricting has provided some structural offset for Republicans, yet the overall map and voter turnout patterns in swing districts sustain market prices clustered around 200-214 seats. Key upcoming developments include primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and any shifts in presidential approval that could widen or narrow the projected net loss.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 22%
210-214 13.6%
200-204 13.4%
190-194 13%
$279,213 Wol.
$279,213 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
22%
190-194
13%
195-199
13%
200-204
13%
205-209
10%
210-214
14%
215-219
7%
220-224
5%
225-229
7%
230+
2%
Below 190 22%
210-214 13.6%
200-204 13.4%
190-194 13%
$279,213 Wol.
$279,213 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$30,243 Wol.
22%
190-194
$13,293 Wol.
13%
195-199
$32,063 Wol.
13%
200-204
$24,419 Wol.
13%
205-209
$38,927 Wol.
10%
210-214
$14,774 Wol.
14%
215-219
$11,341 Wol.
7%
220-224
$58,847 Wol.
5%
225-229
$24,618 Wol.
7%
230+
$30,688 Wol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested due to the party's narrow current majority of roughly 218 seats and the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground in midterm elections. Recent forecasts from Cook Political Report and other analysts show competitive ratings across dozens of districts, with substantial Republican retirements and a national environment favoring Democrats by several points in generic ballot polling. Redistricting has provided some structural offset for Republicans, yet the overall map and voter turnout patterns in swing districts sustain market prices clustered around 200-214 seats. Key upcoming developments include primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and any shifts in presidential approval that could widen or narrow the projected net loss.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$279,213Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested due to the party's narrow current majority of roughly 218 seats and the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground in midterm elections. Recent forecasts from Cook Political Report and other analysts show competitive ratings across dozens of districts, with substantial Republican retirements and a national environment favoring Democrats by several points in generic ballot polling. Redistricting has provided some structural offset for Republicans, yet the overall map and voter turnout patterns in swing districts sustain market prices clustered around 200-214 seats. Key upcoming developments include primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and any shifts in presidential approval that could widen or narrow the projected net loss.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$279,213Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested due to the party's narrow current majority of roughly 218 seats and the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground in midterm elections. Recent forecasts from Cook Political Report and other analysts show competitive ratings across dozens of districts, with substantial Republican retirements and a national environment favoring Democrats by several points in generic ballot polling. Redistricting has provided some structural offset for Republicans, yet the overall map and voter turnout patterns in swing districts sustain market prices clustered around 200-214 seats. Key upcoming developments include primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and any shifts in presidential approval that could widen or narrow the projected net loss.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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