Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with not-guilty pleas entered at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. No bail requests have been made, and the couple has stayed in custody through subsequent hearings, including a March 2026 appearance and a July 2026 pretrial status conference. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, though pretrial motions and potential plea negotiations could alter timelines. Trader sentiment on release probabilities reflects ongoing speculation about diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas authorities that might produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, balanced against the standard procedural barriers in high-profile federal cases involving extradited foreign nationals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoŻona Madura Cilia Flores zwolniona z aresztu przez…?
Żona Madura Cilia Flores zwolniona z aresztu przez…?
$1,374,995 Wol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 grudnia
16%
$1,374,995 Wol.
31 grudnia
$328,394 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with not-guilty pleas entered at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. No bail requests have been made, and the couple has stayed in custody through subsequent hearings, including a March 2026 appearance and a July 2026 pretrial status conference. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, though pretrial motions and potential plea negotiations could alter timelines. Trader sentiment on release probabilities reflects ongoing speculation about diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas authorities that might produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, balanced against the standard procedural barriers in high-profile federal cases involving extradited foreign nationals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,374,995Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with not-guilty pleas entered at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. No bail requests have been made, and the couple has stayed in custody through subsequent hearings, including a March 2026 appearance and a July 2026 pretrial status conference. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, though pretrial motions and potential plea negotiations could alter timelines. Trader sentiment on release probabilities reflects ongoing speculation about diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas authorities that might produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, balanced against the standard procedural barriers in high-profile federal cases involving extradited foreign nationals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,374,995Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, with not-guilty pleas entered at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. No bail requests have been made, and the couple has stayed in custody through subsequent hearings, including a March 2026 appearance and a July 2026 pretrial status conference. A trial date has been discussed for mid-2027, though pretrial motions and potential plea negotiations could alter timelines. Trader sentiment on release probabilities reflects ongoing speculation about diplomatic channels between Washington and Caracas authorities that might produce a negotiated outcome before year-end, balanced against the standard procedural barriers in high-profile federal cases involving extradited foreign nationals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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