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icon for Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

icon for Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$20 Wol.

Polymarket

$5+

$20 Wol.

71%

$10+

$0 Wol.

31%

$15+

$0 Wol.

27%

$20+

$0 Wol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with adaptive thinking enabled by default and performance approaching Opus 4.8 on agentic coding and knowledge benchmarks. It launched at introductory API pricing of $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output tokens through August 31, shifting to the standard $3/$15 afterward, supported by a 1M-token context window and 128K max output. This positioned Sonnet 5 as a cost-effective alternative to flagship models amid intensifying competition from OpenAI and Google on agentic capabilities. No Sonnet 5.1 has been announced as of late September 2026, though the September 1 debut of higher-tier Claude Fable 5.1 highlights Anthropic’s ongoing model cadence and pricing experimentation. Traders are monitoring official announcements, developer conferences, and any leaks on next Sonnet pricing thresholds that could resolve the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.

The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies.

If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$20
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 4:53 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier model yet, with adaptive thinking enabled by default and performance approaching Opus 4.8 on agentic coding and knowledge benchmarks. It launched at introductory API pricing of $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output tokens through August 31, shifting to the standard $3/$15 afterward, supported by a 1M-token context window and 128K max output. This positioned Sonnet 5 as a cost-effective alternative to flagship models amid intensifying competition from OpenAI and Google on agentic capabilities. No Sonnet 5.1 has been announced as of late September 2026, though the September 1 debut of higher-tier Claude Fable 5.1 highlights Anthropic’s ongoing model cadence and pricing experimentation. Traders are monitoring official announcements, developer conferences, and any leaks on next Sonnet pricing thresholds that could resolve the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.

The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies.

If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$20
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 4:53 AM ET

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Często zadawane pytania

"Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$5+" z 91%, za nim "$10+" z 53%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 91¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 91% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 24, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?" jest "$5+" z 91%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 91% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$10+" z 53%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.