Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow seeks re-election in Colorado's 6th congressional district, a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Crow's prior margins, including a 20-point victory in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition and his established fundraising edge over presumptive Republican nominee Mel Tewahade, underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. The June 30 Democratic primary represents the next procedural step, with no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or a significant scandal could still influence results, though structural factors including incumbency and historical voting patterns favor continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCO-06 House Election Winner
$26,740 Wol.
$26,740 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$26,740 Wol.
$26,740 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow seeks re-election in Colorado's 6th congressional district, a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Crow's prior margins, including a 20-point victory in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition and his established fundraising edge over presumptive Republican nominee Mel Tewahade, underpin the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic outcome. The June 30 Democratic primary represents the next procedural step, with no major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported. Late developments such as an unexpected national political wave, candidate health issues, or a significant scandal could still influence results, though structural factors including incumbency and historical voting patterns favor continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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