Skip to main content
Market icon
Wybory·Irlandia

Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election

Market icon
Wybory·Irlandia

Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 16.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 3.2%

Polymarket

$853,871 Wol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 16.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 3.2%

Polymarket

$853,871 Wol.

Daniel Ennis

$15,364 Wol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$6,735 Wol.

16%

Gerry Hutch

$495,786 Wol.

4%

John Stephens

$76,563 Wol.

3%

Ray McAdam

$9,489 Wol.

2%

Gillian Sherratt

$132,971 Wol.

2%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$48,075 Wol.

1%

Janet Horner

$6,324 Wol.

<1%

Malachy Steenson

$14,036 Wol.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$6,644 Wol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$4,808 Wol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$37,077 Wol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability in the Dublin Central Dáil by-election, fueled by strong canvassing reports and positive door-to-door reception in the North Inner City over the past week, positioning him to consolidate anti-government votes amid Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael's historical weakness post-Bertie Ahern era. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds second at 16% following her February selection, buoyed by party loyalty but trailing amid softer national momentum. Independent Gerry Hutch garners 4% despite February campaign launch and voter disillusionment buzz, dismissed by pundits like Ahern as non-viable; transfers will prove decisive in this proportional representation contest expected soon.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$853,871
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability in the Dublin Central Dáil by-election, fueled by strong canvassing reports and positive door-to-door reception in the North Inner City over the past week, positioning him to consolidate anti-government votes amid Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael's historical weakness post-Bertie Ahern era. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds second at 16% following her February selection, buoyed by party loyalty but trailing amid softer national momentum. Independent Gerry Hutch garners 4% despite February campaign launch and voter disillusionment buzz, dismissed by pundits like Ahern as non-viable; transfers will prove decisive in this proportional representation contest expected soon.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Wolumen
$853,871
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Daniel Ennis" z 76%, za nim "Janice Boylan" z 16%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 76¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" wygenerował $853.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" jest "Daniel Ennis" z 76%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Janice Boylan" z 16%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca Dublin-Central By-Election" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.