Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 Wol.
$95,937 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 Wol.
$95,937 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
11°C or below
$2,692 Wol.
No
12°C
$2,470 Wol.
No
13°C
$3,633 Wol.
No
14°C
$8,966 Wol.
No
15°C
$10,660 Wol.
No
16°C
$14,711 Wol.
No
17°C
$18,065 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$17,693 Wol.
No
19°C
$10,364 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,864 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$3,817 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$95,937Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$95,937Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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