Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Wol.
$40,831 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,831 Wol.
$40,831 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-term forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, rainfall timing, and daytime heating in Panama City's tropical wet-season environment is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered near 31–33 °C. Typical July highs average 31–32 °C, but afternoon convective storms often limit peak temperatures while variable humidity and sea-breeze effects can push readings slightly higher on clearer days. Official guidance from regional models shows close agreement on the central tendency yet modest spread from steering patterns and localized precipitation, producing the observed tight distribution across adjacent outcomes. Final station observations on July 19 will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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