Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Wol.
$58,312 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Wol.
$58,312 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
19°C or below
$281 Wol.
No
20°C
$835 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,401 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,260 Wol.
No
23°C
$6,636 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,683 Wol.
No
25°C
$16,748 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$12,687 Wol.
No
27°C
$6,323 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,244 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,214 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,312Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58,312Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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