Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on July 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 2?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$145,219 Wol.
$145,219 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$145,219 Wol.
$145,219 Wol.
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
$1,871 Wol.
No
32°C
$18,849 Wol.
No
33°C
$18,874 Wol.
No
34°C
$19,744 Wol.
No
35°C
$18,736 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$22,742 Wol.
No
37°C
$16,742 Wol.
No
38°C
$13,693 Wol.
No
39°C
$4,957 Wol.
No
40°C
$3,638 Wol.
No
41°C or higher
$5,373 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$145,219Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$145,219Data zakończenia
Jul 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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