Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 30?
32°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,381 Wol.
$100,381 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,381 Wol.
$100,381 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
$1,714 Wol.
No
27°C
$16,838 Wol.
No
28°C
$19,488 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,007 Wol.
No
30°C
$5,239 Wol.
No
31°C
$10,802 Wol.
No
32°C
$9,179 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$9,697 Wol.
No
34°C
$12,564 Wol.
No
35°C
$6,318 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,538 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$100,381Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$100,381Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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