Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional guidance point to a highest temperature in Ankara on June 23 near 26°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C. Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to allow strong daytime solar insolation and surface heating, while low humidity and limited cloud cover limit evaporative cooling. Small differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any subtle advection of warmer air from the Anatolian plateau versus cooler northerly flow. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction remain modest at this lead time, but minor shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C, sustaining the close market-implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,710 Wol.
$65,710 Wol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$65,710 Wol.
$65,710 Wol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional guidance point to a highest temperature in Ankara on June 23 near 26°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C. Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to allow strong daytime solar insolation and surface heating, while low humidity and limited cloud cover limit evaporative cooling. Small differences among outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any subtle advection of warmer air from the Anatolian plateau versus cooler northerly flow. Ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction remain modest at this lead time, but minor shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind speed could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C, sustaining the close market-implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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