Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Wol.
$52,435 Wol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Wol.
$52,435 Wol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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