Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 7?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$70,131 Wol.
$70,131 Wol.
May 7, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$70,131 Wol.
$70,131 Wol.
May 7, 2026
12°C or below
$2,206 Wol.
No
13°C
$1,098 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,112 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,449 Wol.
No
16°C
$5,324 Wol.
No
17°C
$18,121 Wol.
No
18°C
$11,156 Wol.
No
19°C
$7,745 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$9,431 Wol.
No
21°C
$5,725 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$5,763 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$70,131Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$70,131Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source. At 14:50 local time, temperatures peaked near 18.8°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds (10 km/h), and 40% humidity, with hourly forecasts showing a steady decline to 16°C by late afternoon and 11°C overnight, consistent with lingering effects of an early May Arctic airmass that suppressed highs to 8–10°C on May 3–4. Model consensus from short-range ECMWF and GFS runs projected no further intensification, as upper-level trough departure remains slow. Realistic challenges would require anomalous solar heating from unexpected clearing or station data revisions, both improbable given current downward trajectory and climatological May norms around 20°C. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania