Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 1?
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,956 Wol.
$36,956 Wol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
Yes
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,956 Wol.
$36,956 Wol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania