Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 23?
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 Wol.
$27,957 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 Wol.
$27,957 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
85°F or below
$0 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$501 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$1,171 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$2,222 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$7,039 Wol.
Yes
94-95°F
$4,943 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$5,113 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$5,056 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$1,709 Wol.
No
102-103°F
$197 Wol.
No
104°F or higher
$5 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,957Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27,957Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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