Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 29?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$197,051 Wol.
$197,051 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$197,051 Wol.
$197,051 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
21°C or below
$6,448 Wol.
No
22°C
$10,402 Wol.
No
23°C
$23,351 Wol.
No
24°C
$22,564 Wol.
No
25°C
$38,707 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$21,522 Wol.
No
27°C
$24,696 Wol.
No
28°C
$13,296 Wol.
No
29°C
$16,036 Wol.
No
30°C
$8,188 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$11,840 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Wolumen
$197,051Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$197,051Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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