Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on July 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 11?
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$164,247 Wol.
$164,247 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$164,247 Wol.
$164,247 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
69°F or below
$775 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$696 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$2,711 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$8,761 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$15,266 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$23,352 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$25,805 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$17,166 Wol.
Yes
84-85°F
$17,161 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$32,092 Wol.
No
88°F or higher
$20,462 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$164,247Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$164,247Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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