Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 Wol.
$78,475 Wol.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 Wol.
$78,475 Wol.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$2,009 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,330 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,985 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,937 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,339 Wol.
No
15°C
$11,503 Wol.
No
16°C
$11,102 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$23,833 Wol.
No
18°C
$4,608 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,678 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$11,152 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Wolumen
$78,475Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$78,475Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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