Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 Wol.
$58,625 Wol.
May 9, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 Wol.
$58,625 Wol.
May 9, 2026
6°C or below
$2,679 Wol.
No
7°C
$1,126 Wol.
No
8°C
$3,503 Wol.
No
9°C
$5,212 Wol.
No
10°C
$7,879 Wol.
No
11°C
$5,375 Wol.
No
12°C
$5,017 Wol.
No
13°C
$6,948 Wol.
Yes
14°C
$5,572 Wol.
No
15°C
$6,898 Wol.
No
16°C or higher
$8,416 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,625Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$58,625Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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