Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 10?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 Wol.
$61,098 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$61,098 Wol.
$61,098 Wol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official station for Busan temperature records—confirm the daytime high reached 22°C around mid-afternoon on May 10, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds capped peak heating, with hourly data showing temperatures falling to 20-21°C by 18:00 amid 60% humidity, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus. May climatology supports this, as Busan averages 22°C highs during the month. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing minor solar rebound before sunset, though decreasing insolation sharply limits upside risk; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania