Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 Wol.
$43,121 Wol.
May 4, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 Wol.
$43,121 Wol.
May 4, 2026
13°C or below
$870 Wol.
No
14°C
$540 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,169 Wol.
No
16°C
$7,292 Wol.
No
17°C
$4,203 Wol.
No
18°C
$8,677 Wol.
No
19°C
$7,487 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$5,714 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,150 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,734 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,284 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,121Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$43,121Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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