Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's authoritative station, confirm a maximum temperature of 63°F on April 18, 2026, at 12:12 AM local standard time, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F outcome commanding 100% market-implied probability. Persistent rain, light rain, and fog—coupled with an advancing upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air—suppressed highs well below the prior day's near-73°F peak and the 60°F climatological normal, as detailed in the NWS Chicago daily climatological report. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified measurements from automated surface observing systems. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data revisions or instrumentation anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$253,090 Wol.
$253,090 Wol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$253,090 Wol.
$253,090 Wol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's authoritative station, confirm a maximum temperature of 63°F on April 18, 2026, at 12:12 AM local standard time, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F outcome commanding 100% market-implied probability. Persistent rain, light rain, and fog—coupled with an advancing upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air—suppressed highs well below the prior day's near-73°F peak and the 60°F climatological normal, as detailed in the NWS Chicago daily climatological report. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified measurements from automated surface observing systems. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data revisions or instrumentation anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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