The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$121,143 Wol.
$121,143 Wol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$121,143 Wol.
$121,143 Wol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The National Weather Service's official observation at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This below-normal peak—against an April 19 average of 60°F—stemmed from a cool upper-air mass, gusty winds limiting surface heating, and lingering effects of recent frost advisories, overriding pre-event forecast models that clustered around 49-51°F. Verified airport Automated Surface Observing System data confirms the reading, with no significant hourly deviations above 48°F. Resolution could only shift via rare NWS data correction, pending final climatological report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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