National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$65,235 Wol.
$65,235 Wol.
May 4, 2026
29°F or below
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48°F or higher
Yes
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$65,235 Wol.
$65,235 Wol.
May 4, 2026
29°F or below
$6,491 Wol.
No
30-31°F
$1,327 Wol.
No
32-33°F
$1,327 Wol.
No
34-35°F
$2,402 Wol.
No
36-37°F
$3,270 Wol.
No
38-39°F
$3,329 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$3,024 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$2,057 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$1,508 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$15,383 Wol.
No
48°F or higher
$25,120 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,235Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65,235Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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