Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Wol.
$73,739 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Wol.
$73,739 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
$2,559 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,035 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,145 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,519 Wol.
No
23°C
$9,369 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,611 Wol.
No
25°C
$17,903 Wol.
No
26°C
$13,952 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$7,099 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,733 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$8,814 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,739Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,739Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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