Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 30?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 Wol.
$133,464 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 Wol.
$133,464 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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