Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 2?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 Wol.
$339,129 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$339,129 Wol.
$339,129 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global model consensus converged on a daytime maximum of 33°C for June 2 under typical early-summer anticyclonic conditions and persistently above-normal temperatures across southern China. This aligns with 2026’s broader warming trend, which has elevated seasonal averages several degrees above the long-term June baseline of roughly 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 100% for the 33°C outcome reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment from authoritative sources. Minor local variations in urban heat-island effects or final official recording adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though such shifts are historically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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