Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Wol.
$199,102 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Wol.
$199,102 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
$1,048 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,224 Wol.
No
29°C
$646 Wol.
No
30°C
$11,096 Wol.
No
31°C
$16,975 Wol.
No
32°C
$71,180 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$56,439 Wol.
No
34°C
$28,165 Wol.
No
35°C
$8,720 Wol.
No
36°C
$3,149 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$460 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$199,102Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$199,102Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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