**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Wol.
$73,472 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 Wol.
$73,472 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
10°C or below
$474 Wol.
No
11°C
$759 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,913 Wol.
No
13°C
$24,272 Wol.
No
14°C
$10,454 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$6,108 Wol.
No
16°C
$6,153 Wol.
No
17°C
$7,510 Wol.
No
18°C
$8,427 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,382 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$2,020 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,472Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,472Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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