Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Wol.
$58,001 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Wol.
$58,001 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,408 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,940 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,724 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,705 Wol.
No
25°C
$12,370 Wol.
No
26°C
$10,531 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$4,313 Wol.
No
28°C
$5,933 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,630 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,105 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,001Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$58,001Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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