Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature at Jakarta's Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station on April 26, driven by BMKG's latest prakiraan cuaca forecasting daytime peaks up to 31°C amid berawan conditions and light rain risks in Jakarta Timur, yet bolstered by midday METAR observations reaching 33°C and international model consensus (AccuWeather, weather.com) projecting 33–34°C with urban heat island amplification at the airport site. April climatology supports highs near 32–33°C on average, with low winds and partial solar insolation enabling further warming. Realistic challenges include sudden convective showers capping temperatures below 35°C, though minimal cloud cover so far sustains the strong positioning; end-of-day observations will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 26?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,290 Wol.
$49,290 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,290 Wol.
$49,290 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature at Jakarta's Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station on April 26, driven by BMKG's latest prakiraan cuaca forecasting daytime peaks up to 31°C amid berawan conditions and light rain risks in Jakarta Timur, yet bolstered by midday METAR observations reaching 33°C and international model consensus (AccuWeather, weather.com) projecting 33–34°C with urban heat island amplification at the airport site. April climatology supports highs near 32–33°C on average, with low winds and partial solar insolation enabling further warming. Realistic challenges include sudden convective showers capping temperatures below 35°C, though minimal cloud cover so far sustains the strong positioning; end-of-day observations will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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