Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,432 Wol.
$72,432 Wol.
May 3, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,432 Wol.
$72,432 Wol.
May 3, 2026
28°C or below
$3,589 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,776 Wol.
No
30°C
$6,662 Wol.
No
31°C
$13,260 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,462 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,725 Wol.
No
34°C
$12,729 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$13,309 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,388 Wol.
No
37°C
$2,447 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$3,084 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$72,432Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$72,432Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 3 at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—with 100% implied probability, backed by BMKG's latest hourly forecasts showing clear early skies and peak solar insolation driving daytime highs to 34°C before afternoon convection. Current observations align with neutral ENSO patterns and early May climatology (averages 31–33°C), where urban heat and light winds enhance warming under partly cloudy conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected early showers suppressing temperatures to 33°C or below, though model consensus and morning data indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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