Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 Wol.
$84,714 Wol.
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 Wol.
$84,714 Wol.
May 4, 2026
28°C or below
$1,609 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,842 Wol.
No
30°C
$6,295 Wol.
No
31°C
$7,459 Wol.
No
32°C
$6,288 Wol.
No
33°C
$9,313 Wol.
No
34°C
$19,351 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$18,749 Wol.
No
36°C
$5,681 Wol.
No
37°C
$3,669 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$3,459 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$84,714Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$84,714Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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