Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 Wol.
$39,680 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 Wol.
$39,680 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
28°C or below
$6,875 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,742 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,250 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,331 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,056 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,073 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,760 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$6,395 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,677 Wol.
No
37°C
$1,763 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,759 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$39,680Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,680Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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