Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Wol.
$46,008 Wol.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 Wol.
$46,008 Wol.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$7,638 Wol.
No
28°C
$14,115 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,559 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,407 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,372 Wol.
No
32°C
$3,467 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,841 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,106 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$2,579 Wol.
No
36°C
$2,608 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,317 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,008Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$46,008Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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