Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on April 19?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 Wol.
$260,699 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 Wol.
$260,699 Wol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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