Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C
24%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 14%
34°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$848 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$712 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$124 Wol.
4%
33°C
$132 Wol.
7%
34°C
$43 Wol.
11%
35°C
$69 Wol.
24%
36°C
$185 Wol.
36%
37°C
$37 Wol.
14%
38°C
$56 Wol.
2%
39°C
$17 Wol.
2%
40°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,232Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,232Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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