Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daytime high of 34°C for August 11 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and a 60–90% chance of showers, following observed maxima of 34–36°C on the prior two days. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and regional sea-surface conditions. Forecast spread across models centers on 34–36°C, with differentiation driven by timing and coverage of convection that could suppress peak solar heating versus clearer intervals allowing brief intensification toward 37°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
37°C 14%
36°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
13%
37°C
14%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
37°C 14%
36°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
31°C
$12 Wol.
1%
32°C
$35 Wol.
1%
33°C
$0 Wol.
12%
34°C
$292 Wol.
30%
35°C
$35 Wol.
35%
36°C
$0 Wol.
13%
37°C
$94 Wol.
14%
38°C
$549 Wol.
8%
39°C
$12 Wol.
1%
40°C or higher
$12 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daytime high of 34°C for August 11 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and a 60–90% chance of showers, following observed maxima of 34–36°C on the prior two days. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and regional sea-surface conditions. Forecast spread across models centers on 34–36°C, with differentiation driven by timing and coverage of convection that could suppress peak solar heating versus clearer intervals allowing brief intensification toward 37°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,046Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daytime high of 34°C for August 11 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and a 60–90% chance of showers, following observed maxima of 34–36°C on the prior two days. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and regional sea-surface conditions. Forecast spread across models centers on 34–36°C, with differentiation driven by timing and coverage of convection that could suppress peak solar heating versus clearer intervals allowing brief intensification toward 37°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,046Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a daytime high of 34°C for August 11 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and a 60–90% chance of showers, following observed maxima of 34–36°C on the prior two days. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and regional sea-surface conditions. Forecast spread across models centers on 34–36°C, with differentiation driven by timing and coverage of convection that could suppress peak solar heating versus clearer intervals allowing brief intensification toward 37°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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