**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the main driver keeping trader consensus clustered around 29–31°C for Manila’s August 11 maximum.** PAGASA outlooks through mid-August show persistent cloud cover and 60–90% rain chances over Metro Manila on the 9th–11th, which limits daytime heating and caps highs near the seasonal 30–32°C range. Recent model guidance aligns with long-term August averages of ~31°C but favors slightly suppressed peaks due to widespread showers. The tight spread between 30°C (26%) and the adjacent bins reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief breaks in monsoon clouds that could allow a brief spike to 32°C or keep readings at 29°C. New PAGASA updates and refined numerical model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 11?
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
28%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 25%
29°C 23%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
$28 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$11 Wol.
6%
28°C
$147 Wol.
7%
29°C
$182 Wol.
23%
30°C
$0 Wol.
28%
31°C
$48 Wol.
25%
32°C
$116 Wol.
14%
33°C
$27 Wol.
1%
34°C
$10 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$22 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the main driver keeping trader consensus clustered around 29–31°C for Manila’s August 11 maximum.** PAGASA outlooks through mid-August show persistent cloud cover and 60–90% rain chances over Metro Manila on the 9th–11th, which limits daytime heating and caps highs near the seasonal 30–32°C range. Recent model guidance aligns with long-term August averages of ~31°C but favors slightly suppressed peaks due to widespread showers. The tight spread between 30°C (26%) and the adjacent bins reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief breaks in monsoon clouds that could allow a brief spike to 32°C or keep readings at 29°C. New PAGASA updates and refined numerical model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$622Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the main driver keeping trader consensus clustered around 29–31°C for Manila’s August 11 maximum.** PAGASA outlooks through mid-August show persistent cloud cover and 60–90% rain chances over Metro Manila on the 9th–11th, which limits daytime heating and caps highs near the seasonal 30–32°C range. Recent model guidance aligns with long-term August averages of ~31°C but favors slightly suppressed peaks due to widespread showers. The tight spread between 30°C (26%) and the adjacent bins reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief breaks in monsoon clouds that could allow a brief spike to 32°C or keep readings at 29°C. New PAGASA updates and refined numerical model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$622Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the main driver keeping trader consensus clustered around 29–31°C for Manila’s August 11 maximum.** PAGASA outlooks through mid-August show persistent cloud cover and 60–90% rain chances over Metro Manila on the 9th–11th, which limits daytime heating and caps highs near the seasonal 30–32°C range. Recent model guidance aligns with long-term August averages of ~31°C but favors slightly suppressed peaks due to widespread showers. The tight spread between 30°C (26%) and the adjacent bins reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief breaks in monsoon clouds that could allow a brief spike to 32°C or keep readings at 29°C. New PAGASA updates and refined numerical model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the next clear signals for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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