Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 indicate hot conditions with daytime highs of 29–35°C and moderate rain probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely matched 34°C and 35°C outcomes. High humidity and potential convective cloud cover or showers could suppress maximum temperatures below model peaks, while clear intervals or urban heat effects might allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context, but short-term steering patterns and diurnal heating remain the decisive variables. Updated HKO briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
35°C 36%
34°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 9%
$12,097 Wol.
$12,097 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
36%
36°C
15%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 9%
$12,097 Wol.
$12,097 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
36%
36°C
15%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 indicate hot conditions with daytime highs of 29–35°C and moderate rain probabilities, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely matched 34°C and 35°C outcomes. High humidity and potential convective cloud cover or showers could suppress maximum temperatures below model peaks, while clear intervals or urban heat effects might allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides broader context, but short-term steering patterns and diurnal heating remain the decisive variables. Updated HKO briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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