Recent heat across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, has positioned 32°C or higher as the market favorite for August 8, reflecting trader assessment of persistent subtropical conditions and urban heat retention. Official Central Weather Administration guidance projects daytime maxima of 28–31°C for the date, yet model spreads and the potential for localized afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies sustain elevated implied odds for exceeding that range. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C, combined with ongoing heat indices amplified by humidity, further underpin the 67% consensus on 32°C+, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from any increased cloud cover or frontal influence. New observational data and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 67%
31°C 23%
30°C 8%
29°C 3%
NOWE
$52,611 Wol.
NOWE
$52,611 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
23%
32°C or higher
67%
32°C or higher 67%
31°C 23%
30°C 8%
29°C 3%
NOWE
$52,611 Wol.
NOWE
$52,611 Wol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$803 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,128 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,595 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$3,411 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$4,394 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$3,993 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5,160 Wol.
1%
29°C
$6,963 Wol.
3%
30°C
$6,440 Wol.
8%
31°C
$6,174 Wol.
23%
32°C or higher
$11,549 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, has positioned 32°C or higher as the market favorite for August 8, reflecting trader assessment of persistent subtropical conditions and urban heat retention. Official Central Weather Administration guidance projects daytime maxima of 28–31°C for the date, yet model spreads and the potential for localized afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies sustain elevated implied odds for exceeding that range. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C, combined with ongoing heat indices amplified by humidity, further underpin the 67% consensus on 32°C+, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from any increased cloud cover or frontal influence. New observational data and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,611Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, has positioned 32°C or higher as the market favorite for August 8, reflecting trader assessment of persistent subtropical conditions and urban heat retention. Official Central Weather Administration guidance projects daytime maxima of 28–31°C for the date, yet model spreads and the potential for localized afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies sustain elevated implied odds for exceeding that range. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C, combined with ongoing heat indices amplified by humidity, further underpin the 67% consensus on 32°C+, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from any increased cloud cover or frontal influence. New observational data and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52,611Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat across northern Taiwan, including a 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, has positioned 32°C or higher as the market favorite for August 8, reflecting trader assessment of persistent subtropical conditions and urban heat retention. Official Central Weather Administration guidance projects daytime maxima of 28–31°C for the date, yet model spreads and the potential for localized afternoon warming under partly cloudy skies sustain elevated implied odds for exceeding that range. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C, combined with ongoing heat indices amplified by humidity, further underpin the 67% consensus on 32°C+, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from any increased cloud cover or frontal influence. New observational data and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania