Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
26°C 35%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
15%
25°C
33%
26°C
35%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$173 Wol.
2%
23°C
$56 Wol.
5%
24°C
$15 Wol.
15%
25°C
$218 Wol.
33%
26°C
$235 Wol.
35%
27°C
$140 Wol.
16%
28°C
$30 Wol.
7%
29°C
$27 Wol.
1%
30°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$10 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$941Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$941Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs point to a London high of 25–26 °C on August 7, underpinning the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of the southeasterly flow will decide whether the peak reaches the upper end of that range. The urban heat-island effect at central stations can add 1–2 °C relative to Heathrow, while any late-day sea-breeze or increased low-level moisture would cap readings nearer 25 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next 12-hour model cycles and updated Met Office briefings will sharpen the distinction between these tightly matched probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania