Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and model guidance highlight a strengthened Pacific high sustaining above-normal August heat across Honshu, anchoring trader focus on 29–31 °C maxima for Tokyo on the 5th. Ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle differences in subsidence strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, short-range NWP runs will increasingly constrain outcomes around the climatological 30–31 °C mean, explaining the tight clustering while leaving room for localized convective cooling or clearer skies to push toward the tails.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
31%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$315 Wol.
1%
27°C
$10 Wol.
4%
28°C
$83 Wol.
10%
29°C
$71 Wol.
32%
30°C
$15 Wol.
31%
31°C
$15 Wol.
24%
32°C
$63 Wol.
7%
33°C
$26 Wol.
3%
34°C
$25 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and model guidance highlight a strengthened Pacific high sustaining above-normal August heat across Honshu, anchoring trader focus on 29–31 °C maxima for Tokyo on the 5th. Ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle differences in subsidence strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, short-range NWP runs will increasingly constrain outcomes around the climatological 30–31 °C mean, explaining the tight clustering while leaving room for localized convective cooling or clearer skies to push toward the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$652Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and model guidance highlight a strengthened Pacific high sustaining above-normal August heat across Honshu, anchoring trader focus on 29–31 °C maxima for Tokyo on the 5th. Ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle differences in subsidence strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, short-range NWP runs will increasingly constrain outcomes around the climatological 30–31 °C mean, explaining the tight clustering while leaving room for localized convective cooling or clearer skies to push toward the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$652Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks and model guidance highlight a strengthened Pacific high sustaining above-normal August heat across Honshu, anchoring trader focus on 29–31 °C maxima for Tokyo on the 5th. Ensemble forecasts show modest day-to-day variability driven by subtle differences in subsidence strength, boundary-layer moisture, and afternoon sea-breeze timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, short-range NWP runs will increasingly constrain outcomes around the climatological 30–31 °C mean, explaining the tight clustering while leaving room for localized convective cooling or clearer skies to push toward the tails.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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