Recent short-range forecasts from models including the ECMWF and GFS, along with Met Office guidance, place Amsterdam’s August 5 maximum near 24–26 °C under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light easterly winds that favor daytime heating without excessive mixing. This consensus, set against August’s climatological average high of roughly 22 °C, positions 25 °C as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest model spread that keeps adjacent bins (24 °C and 23 °C) competitive. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast envelope and limited potential for cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, with the next model runs and observational updates expected to tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 44%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
29%
25°C
44%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Wol.
3%
22°C
$52 Wol.
1%
23°C
$37 Wol.
17%
24°C
$0 Wol.
29%
25°C
$17 Wol.
44%
26°C
$24 Wol.
15%
27°C
$5 Wol.
3%
28°C
$10 Wol.
5%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models including the ECMWF and GFS, along with Met Office guidance, place Amsterdam’s August 5 maximum near 24–26 °C under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light easterly winds that favor daytime heating without excessive mixing. This consensus, set against August’s climatological average high of roughly 22 °C, positions 25 °C as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest model spread that keeps adjacent bins (24 °C and 23 °C) competitive. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast envelope and limited potential for cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, with the next model runs and observational updates expected to tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models including the ECMWF and GFS, along with Met Office guidance, place Amsterdam’s August 5 maximum near 24–26 °C under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light easterly winds that favor daytime heating without excessive mixing. This consensus, set against August’s climatological average high of roughly 22 °C, positions 25 °C as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest model spread that keeps adjacent bins (24 °C and 23 °C) competitive. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast envelope and limited potential for cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, with the next model runs and observational updates expected to tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models including the ECMWF and GFS, along with Met Office guidance, place Amsterdam’s August 5 maximum near 24–26 °C under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies and light easterly winds that favor daytime heating without excessive mixing. This consensus, set against August’s climatological average high of roughly 22 °C, positions 25 °C as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest model spread that keeps adjacent bins (24 °C and 23 °C) competitive. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast envelope and limited potential for cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling, with the next model runs and observational updates expected to tighten probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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