Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate daily highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F) through August 5, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high humidity above 75%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime warming. Official guidance from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region shows steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical early-August conditions without major typhoon influences in the immediate window. Model consensus places the peak temperature close to 32–33°C, with minor divergences arising from the precise timing and intensity of convective rain—factors that can suppress or allow brief spikes. The tightly matched market probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small shifts in forecast moisture or wind could tip the observed maximum either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
18%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
18%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate daily highs near 30–32°C (86–90°F) through August 5, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high humidity above 75%, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime warming. Official guidance from agencies monitoring the South China Sea region shows steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical early-August conditions without major typhoon influences in the immediate window. Model consensus places the peak temperature close to 32–33°C, with minor divergences arising from the precise timing and intensity of convective rain—factors that can suppress or allow brief spikes. The tightly matched market probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small shifts in forecast moisture or wind could tip the observed maximum either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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