Traders price 33–34°C as the narrow favorites for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 5, reflecting climatological norms for early August when average daily maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show modest day-to-day variability driven by afternoon convective activity and possible sea-breeze moderation, which can cap temperatures below seasonal peaks or allow brief spikes above 35°C under clearer skies. Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect and the precise timing of any showers introduce the main forecast uncertainty within the narrow 1–2°C band separating the leading outcomes. Updated regional model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
34°C 38%
33°C 35%
35°C 18%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
38%
35°C
18%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 35%
35°C 18%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$38 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$24 Wol.
1%
30°C
$371 Wol.
2%
31°C
$141 Wol.
4%
32°C
$17 Wol.
9%
33°C
$155 Wol.
35%
34°C
$337 Wol.
38%
35°C
$80 Wol.
18%
36°C
$275 Wol.
3%
37°C
$39 Wol.
1%
38°C or higher
$37 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 33–34°C as the narrow favorites for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 5, reflecting climatological norms for early August when average daily maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show modest day-to-day variability driven by afternoon convective activity and possible sea-breeze moderation, which can cap temperatures below seasonal peaks or allow brief spikes above 35°C under clearer skies. Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect and the precise timing of any showers introduce the main forecast uncertainty within the narrow 1–2°C band separating the leading outcomes. Updated regional model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,514Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 33–34°C as the narrow favorites for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 5, reflecting climatological norms for early August when average daily maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show modest day-to-day variability driven by afternoon convective activity and possible sea-breeze moderation, which can cap temperatures below seasonal peaks or allow brief spikes above 35°C under clearer skies. Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect and the precise timing of any showers introduce the main forecast uncertainty within the narrow 1–2°C band separating the leading outcomes. Updated regional model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,514Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price 33–34°C as the narrow favorites for Shanghai’s highest temperature on August 5, reflecting climatological norms for early August when average daily maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show modest day-to-day variability driven by afternoon convective activity and possible sea-breeze moderation, which can cap temperatures below seasonal peaks or allow brief spikes above 35°C under clearer skies. Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect and the precise timing of any showers introduce the main forecast uncertainty within the narrow 1–2°C band separating the leading outcomes. Updated regional model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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