Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 3 project a maximum near 15°C under mainly fine conditions with westerly winds shifting southerly overnight. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, this maritime setting typically limits daytime highs to the low teens Celsius, though clear skies and downslope warming from the northwesterlies could briefly push readings to 16°C before any evening shower develops. Recent model consensus shows low variability in the 14–16°C range, aligning with climatological August averages around 13–14°C. Trader positioning reflects these near-term guidance updates, with modest probability on 16°C capturing potential for brief peaks amid inherent forecast spread in wind and cloud timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 3?
16°C 49%
15°C 37%
17°C 11%
14°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
37%
16°C
49%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 37%
17°C 11%
14°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
37%
16°C
49%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 3 project a maximum near 15°C under mainly fine conditions with westerly winds shifting southerly overnight. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, this maritime setting typically limits daytime highs to the low teens Celsius, though clear skies and downslope warming from the northwesterlies could briefly push readings to 16°C before any evening shower develops. Recent model consensus shows low variability in the 14–16°C range, aligning with climatological August averages around 13–14°C. Trader positioning reflects these near-term guidance updates, with modest probability on 16°C capturing potential for brief peaks amid inherent forecast spread in wind and cloud timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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