Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 5?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 8%
NOWE
$34,324 Wol.
NOWE
$34,324 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 8%
NOWE
$34,324 Wol.
NOWE
$34,324 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
$9,455 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$986 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,464 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,812 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,670 Wol.
8%
82-83°F
$7,023 Wol.
41%
84-85°F
$3,570 Wol.
41%
86-87°F
$2,486 Wol.
11%
88-89°F
$1,118 Wol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,711 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,324Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,324Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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