Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow will experience peak warmth on August 7 amid a warm air mass, with daytime highs likely reaching 31–33 °C before possible late-day thunderstorms introduce cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C through reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Recent days have featured steadily rising readings, with observed or forecast highs climbing from the mid-20s °C early in the week toward the low-30s °C range, consistent with seasonal late-summer conditions but tempered by the approaching instability. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 29–32 °C reflects this model uncertainty over exact peak values rather than broader shifts in the synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 7?
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 16%
28°C or below
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
32°C 16%
28°C or below
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow will experience peak warmth on August 7 amid a warm air mass, with daytime highs likely reaching 31–33 °C before possible late-day thunderstorms introduce cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C through reduced solar heating and evaporative effects. Recent days have featured steadily rising readings, with observed or forecast highs climbing from the mid-20s °C early in the week toward the low-30s °C range, consistent with seasonal late-summer conditions but tempered by the approaching instability. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 29–32 °C reflects this model uncertainty over exact peak values rather than broader shifts in the synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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