Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
12°C 53%
13°C 32%
11°C 13%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
13%
12°C
50%
13°C
32%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
12°C 53%
13°C 32%
11°C 13%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Wol.
5%
10°C
$37 Wol.
8%
11°C
$0 Wol.
13%
12°C
$86 Wol.
50%
13°C
$0 Wol.
32%
14°C
$0 Wol.
11%
15°C
$0 Wol.
8%
16°C
$20 Wol.
2%
17°C
$20 Wol.
1%
18°C
$20 Wol.
1%
19°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$208Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$208Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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